In terms of class probability, entrepreneurs and consumers have to decide which characteristics of a particular event are unique (and not relevant to the probability estimate) and which elements are ...

The US equity market stands at the most extreme valuations in history, on the measures we find best correlated with actual ...

Forests may reduce not only small floods but also the probability of major ones, according to a new study challenging ...

Self-generated skills don't do much for AI agents, study finds, but human-curated skills do Teach an AI agent how to fish for ...

Bayes' theorem is a statistical formula used to calculate conditional probability. Learn how it works, how to calculate it ...

Putting humans and LLMs head-to-head in classic tests of judgment from human psychology underscores the differences between ...

A fully automated bot quietly captured micro-arbitrage opportunities on short-term crypto prediction markets, netting nearly ...

Right now, molecules in the air are moving around you in chaotic and unpredictable ways. To make sense of such systems, physicists use a law known as the Boltzmann distribution, which, rather than ...

While the basic form of QKD enables information to be transmitted securely, it does have some weak points. One of them is that a malicious third party could steal the key by hacking the devices the ...

One ball on a Plinko board is unpredictable. Drop a thousand and they form a near-perfect bell curve—one of math’s most powerful ideas for 150+ years.

Researchers from the University of British Columbia argue that a widely used method to understand and predict flood risk has led scientists to miscalculate how forests can prevent major flooding. The ...

A new tool from University of Iowa researchers allows Iowans to dive into previously unavailable cancer data at the ZIP-code ...