As rare disease trials face persistent feasibility challenges, Bayesian designs are gaining momentum by enabling more ...

The FDA has released draft guidance on how sponsors can use Bayesian models for clinical trials.

Rare disease is a major – and growing – area of clinical research and drug development. Of the FDA’s 46 novel drug approvals ...

Although Duolingo suffered a severe drop following its Q4 earnings disclosure, the smart money seems intrigued by DUOL stock ...

This study provides important insights into how working memory shapes perceptual decisions, using a dual-task design, continuous mouse tracking, and hierarchical Bayesian modeling. By dissociating ...

Introduction Cerebral palsy (CP) is a non-progressive condition involving movement and muscle tone difficulties due to injury to the developing brain. Most cases arise around birth, but a smaller ...

Why do we seek certainty in our lives? Why do we sometimes not want certainty? This post explains how certainty is part of affect, the evaluative common currency of the mind.

As social media becomes the core domain of information interaction in the era of big data, the emotional information contained in the vast amount of user-generated content provides an unprecedented ...

Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand Russell said, “Probability is the most important concept in modern science, especially as nobody has the ...

When a human says an event is “probable” or “likely,” people generally have a shared, if fuzzy, understanding of what that ...

This important study describes long-range serial dependence of performance on a visual texture discrimination training task that manipulated conditions to induce differing degrees of location transfer ...

The addition rule for probabilities determines the chance of either mutually exclusive or overlapping events happening, using ...