Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has ...

For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. When that happens, it historically has meant a recession is looming. So you’d think that investors and ...

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Labor-market worries are driving the yield on the two-year Treasury note slightly below the 10-year yield, threatening a run that stretches back to mid-2022. An inverted yield curve, in which ...

The longest inverted yield curve on record may finally be in the rearview mirror. The yield on the 2-year note closed at 3.651%, according to Tradeweb, lower than the 10-year yield, which settled at 3 ...

Is a recession coming? A look at yield curve inversion and what it means for the economy. Learn about government bonds and economic indicators. ‘Absolutely Failed’: Senators Debate Presidential ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...